Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.237205 0.274009 0.315904 0.367390 0.429318 0.501858 0.593920
2025-09-14 0.176262 0.222121 0.280193 0.360240 0.469477 0.615966 0.831842
2025-09-21 0.144804 0.194166 0.261701 0.363169 0.515931 0.744486 1.126796
2025-09-28 0.123065 0.173026 0.245592 0.362339 0.552778 0.865255 1.449363
2025-10-05 0.110097 0.161232 0.239467 0.373220 0.607916 1.027755 1.901880
2025-10-12 0.099459 0.150788 0.232902 0.380950 0.658239 1.195173 2.433562
2025-10-19 0.090706 0.141759 0.226718 0.387390 0.706867 1.373277 3.070754
2025-10-26 0.084289 0.135505 0.223947 0.398994 0.767832 1.596174 3.932272
2025-11-02 0.077703 0.127989 0.217654 0.402354 0.812230 1.796959 4.853935
2025-11-09 0.071659 0.120615 0.210451 0.402338 0.848986 1.992335 5.887952
2025-11-16 0.066031 0.113299 0.202289 0.398700 0.876325 2.173576 7.007390
2025-11-23 0.060806 0.106131 0.193444 0.391938 0.894339 2.336267 8.189989
2025-11-30 0.057729 0.102805 0.192025 0.402150 0.960413 2.675592 10.441702
2025-12-07 0.053319 0.096429 0.183560 0.394499 0.976811 2.866748 12.237026
2025-12-14 0.050327 0.092558 0.179886 0.397832 1.025804 3.195181 15.160006
2025-12-21 0.047310 0.088319 0.174876 0.396919 1.062264 3.498502 18.388313
2025-12-28 0.045531 0.086459 0.174893 0.409068 1.143711 4.027255 24.039609
2026-01-04 0.043651 0.084186 0.173672 0.417704 1.216950 4.570119 30.986896
2026-01-11 0.041829 0.081856 0.172028 0.424900 1.288185 5.155156 39.839876
2026-01-18 0.040479 0.080426 0.172349 0.437874 1.385589 5.946411 53.395564
2026-01-25 0.038718 0.077911 0.169718 0.441633 1.449889 6.616449 68.175529
2026-02-01 0.036903 0.075110 0.166054 0.441614 1.499830 7.250611 85.460388
2026-02-08 0.035035 0.072030 0.161352 0.437546 1.532241 7.810758 104.681219